The Enigma behind the Good–Turing formula

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The Enigma behind the Good–Turing formula

Finding the total number of species in a population based on a finite sample is a difficult but practically important problem. In this snapshot, we will attempt to shed light on how during World War II, two cryptanalysts, Irving J. Good and Alan M. Turing, discovered one of the most widely applied formulas in statistics. The formula estimates the probability of missing some of the species in a sample drawn from a heterogeneous population. We will provide some intuition behind the formula, show its wide range of applications, and give a few technical details.

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Ciencias de la vida

Licencia

10.14760/SNAP-2021-008-EN

Área matemática

Álgebra y Teoría de números
Análisis
Didáctica y Educación
Matemática discreta y Fundamentos
Geometría y Topología
Cálculo numérico y científico